http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com/real-estate/were-in-recession-and-hank-paulson-holds-the-purse-strings/ – Were in Recession and Hank Paulson holds the purse strings. -
Part 1 – Brett has brought with him some updates on the economy and how things are changing theses days and he brought some great information to discuss with you. We talk about all these different things in the economy and let’s be honest there are a lot of problems out there, no one can dispute that, the unemployment rate is the highest it’s been in many year, with Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac AIG being taken over by the government, Lehman brothers Bear Sterns, WAMU, Countrywide all gone, banks and insurance companies getting their bailout, the auto industry is the next one to get a bailout, were already working on our second stimulus package.
95% of the people according to President elect Obama are going to be getting a tax cut soon. Where is all of the money for all of this going to come from? It just seems to be a downward spiral. Brett’s got some great insight on this that he wants to talk about and some more, unfortunately, a little bit more dismal news, just want you to know before you drive off a cliff there is light at the end of the tunnel. We are going to talk about that so Brett, why don’t you share a little information if you could.
Yeah, I would be happy to, you mentioned a couple of things in your opening comments and one was about, the market seems to be anticipating bad news, and it certainly is not surprising it was a pretty significant down day on Wall Street again today, most of that was attributed to two things. Retailers such as Best Buy and Macy’s came out with their projections for consumer spending. Best Buy actually said something to the effect that it is the lowest level of consumer spending that they have ever experienced in the history of their business. Best Buy is actually one that hopefully will stick it out as we know Circuit City is filling for bankruptcy.
The other thing that you mentioned was jobless rate has climbed, the number has definitely increased, the NEBR is the government agency that is responsible for reporting when a recession begins and when it ends. They call it. They officially have not called one, but I think every reasonable person believes that we have been in one and probably have been in one for some time already.
So right supposedly there is some technical factor that says this is a recession that doesn’t mean that we flip the switch and boom here we are out of the recession is that right?
That is absolutely right and in hindsight is how they judge that time of when it started and when it comes to an end, and it’s usually several months after the fact, but it remains to be seen. We believe we are in a recession but we are going to talk about a couple of things that people are feeling this economic crunch and what they can do about it, specifically as it is regarding their home ownership and their mortgages.
A couple of interesting things that came out, Secretary of the Treasury Hank Paulson today made an announcement this morning regarding a change in the governments, they call it a rescue plan. Others call it a bailout. Thats the 700 hundred billion dollar plan, and apparently Wall Street is unhappy with the changes that took place, pretty significant.
The idea at the time this legislation was passed in congress and ultimately signed by President Bush into law was to use the funds to buy the bad assets, mortgage backed assets from banks and lending institutions, they changed that and recanted that today, Hank Paulson specifically announced that they are no longer going to be using those funds, that the current plan calls for 250 billion dollars of the 700 billion to be used to buy stock of those banks and financial institutions
Does Hank Paulson, does he need to get approval for this? One of the things that have been discussed all week long has been, was the fact that as this legislation was passed and approved, is that he has full power to make these types of decisions, without the benefit of it being discussed through congress and those traditional channels. He is currently the most powerful man in the world. He has the whole checking account to himself to decide what the best distribution of those funds is. It certainly appears that way and apparently he changed his mind and announced it today… http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com
Duration : 0:5:40
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http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com/short-sales/avoid-a-foreclosure-on-your-credit-report-short-sale-your-home-and-save-your-credit/ – Avoid a foreclosure on your credit report, short sale your home and save your credit
Part 8 – Ok, so that is good to know, I know there are people who want to try and do that and I really dont know. I am really a full time mortgage professional, I didnt get into the loan modification business on purpose, we write mortgage loans, real estate loans for residential and commercial, so therefore I dont know your laws on the same token you dont do loan modifications and you dont write loans, youre professional realtor.
Exactly, and one more thing, bottom line is you cant be defrauding the bank. Because then youre stepping into mortgage fraud, as you know. You do have to have a hardship, you honestly do have to show, if youre going to be benefiting from staying in the home, you have to show a hardship that you cant afford the current payment. If youre making a couple hundred thousand a year and have a ½ million in the bank and owe $200,000 the bank isnt on your side in that case.
There are a lot of situations though when a homeowner wants to stay in their home, if that is the case, then we market it to investors, because there is a lot of the people who are buying these homes so we work with the investor and we work out the lease amount and the homeowners can stay in their homes in those situations. Whatever it looks like at the end of the day, the homeowner needs to picture where they are going to be in the short term midterm and long term and where this house fits into those plans, if a loan mod isnt right a short sale is a significantly better option than a foreclosure.
They need to call now, they need to take action because you do need to find a place to live and were here to help you, you dont want to get two weeks to the point of foreclosure and have no where to move your family. And the Dreamvestors Team that is your main focus right now, but people still call you for first time home buyers.
We work with buyers as well as people who are short selling. We have been in real estate several years and we didnt want just short sales, were fortunate to have a very strong clientele base and were always taking new clients. We have just adjusted our focus as the market called for it and as our clients called for it.
The other thing too when we talk about these short sales, getting out of that home before it goes to foreclosure is always the best case scenario, the bank is happier with it, the house is more saleable in most cases, people are still living there, its still there home, they still feel like the pride of ownership.
Yes, and in addition, pride of neighborhood is another point. Your neighbors are going to like you better because there is not a foreclosure in their neighborhood, it helps keep the prices up when the bank takes them back the banks price them even lower typically, well sure and then its vacant and we have the potential problem of neighborhood kids turning the house into a paintball arena.
I saw that in a fantastic two story home with an amazing backyard, this house was to die for, a million dollar home and the neighborhood kids turned this house into a paintball arena. Now I am not going to lie, that might have been fun when I was a kid, but this house was trashed, wires hanging out, I mean it was just an absolute mess. The lenders dont want that, you dont want that. They need to take action they need to call you.
Yes educate yourself and call someone today. Folks its important to point out today that I would like to see you call Kalyn and Jeri for this because I know, I have seen their track record. I know their close ratio and I know that they generally care about you and your needs first, but if you have someone who does this and youre contemplating it, if you have a sale date coming up, you need to take action. Move on with your life, put this part of your life behind you.
One of the things to and we dont want to get to deep into this, Jeri or Kalyn, but after the short sale is done its all said and done, you have an affiliation with people who can help them out in getting their credit repaired and ready to go. We do, we really pride ourselves on being a one stop shop, so we help educate them, if its going to be a loan modification or a short sale once they get through the process then we begin working with them on credit repair. We have a program that we work ourselves, and if its a really sticky issue with your credit we have people that we work very closely with that we will refer you to, we also have a team that includes a bankruptcy attorney, a real estate attorney and a real estate CPA… http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com
Duration : 0:7:2
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Financial Advisor Suze Orman advises that paying off your mortgage is a priority because it reduces financial risk. Suze says to pay off your mortgage as a priority compared to investing in your IRA or 401K. Interview on NBC with Matt Lauer.
Duration : 0:2:0
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The United States has had public debt since its inception. Debts incurred during the American Revolutionary War and under the Articles of Confederation led to the first yearly reported value of $75,463,476.52 on January 1, 1791. Over the following 45 years, the debt grew, briefly contracted to zero on January 8, 1835 under President Andrew Jackson but then quickly grew into the millions again.[6]
The first dramatic growth spurt of the debt occurred because of the Civil War. The debt was just $65 million in 1860, but passed $1 billion in 1863 and had reached $2.7 billion following the war. The debt slowly fluctuated for the rest of the century, finally growing steadily in the 1910s and early 1920s to roughly $22 billion as the country paid for involvement in World War I.[6]
MOST IMPORTANT:
The buildup and involvement in World War II plus social programs during the F.D. Roosevelt and Truman presidencies in the 1930s and 40’s caused a sixteen-fold increase in the gross debt from $16 billion in 1930 to $260 billion in 1950.
After this period, the growth of the gross debt closely matched the rate of inflation where it tripled in size from $260 billion in 1950 to around $909 billion in 1980. Gross debt in nominal dollars quadrupled during the Reagan and Bush presidencies from 1980 to 1992. The Public debt quintupled in nominal terms.
In nominal dollars the public debt rose and then fell between 1992 and 2000 from $3T in 1992 to $3.4T in 2000. During the administration of President George W. Bush, the gross debt increased from $5.6 trillion in January 2001 to $10.7 trillion by December 2008,[7] rising from 58% of GDP to 70.2% of GDP. During March 2009, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that gross debt will rise from 70.2% of GDP in 2008 to 100.6% in 2012.[8]
Retrieved 5/28/10, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_public_debt
Duration : 0:0:40
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http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com/real-estate/congressman-barney-frank-is-calling-for-the-restructure-of-the-loan-servicing-business/ – Congressman Barney Frank is calling for the restructure of the loan servicing business –
Part 2 – Well, in the past we have talked a lot about loan modifications and since the first time we started talking about loan modifications the whole space has changed. Everything about loan modifications since our very first broadcast talking about it, we don’t talk about it every week, but we do talk about it allot. It has changed so much, when we started anybody who had a significant hardship, or financial hardship, or had one of these toxic mortgages, that had adjusted, would be able to qualify for a loan modification. These things have changed all of a sudden, and not all across the board. Brett you made a comment earlier that people are concerned that once these servicers do these modifications they could be subject to lawsuits right?
Yes, it is amazing how quickly things have changed over the course of the last couple of weeks, it seems this information, and this news is changing almost hour by hour, at this point one of the things that came out regarding this mortgage modification program is from Barney Frank, “Congress should act to restructure the servicing of home mortgages.” So the idea is that they are catching on to something that you and your team at velocity financial were ahead of the curve on in terms of loan modifications.
Knowing that those rules for a hardship and why you are entitled to one have definitely changed. Now it is more of a situation where in order to stop foreclosure, to stop the problems associated with this mass foreclosure market place, modifications are being talked about amongst the banks now. Barney Franks comments today, he stressed how these voluntary inducements to get these private entities to protect homeowners from the government has fallen short, and Hank Paulson has fallen short of putting their weight behind this concept.
Although I personally believe that is the next evolution of this. Loan Modifications are a critical step for people who are feeling this economic crisis, and for people who want to stay in a home, for people who need this type of assistance. The idea is you have a short window of opportunity here before something else significant changes where you may no longer be entitled to.
You heard Citigroup, you know this we talked about it, Citigroup came out and made the announcement that they were going to suspend their pursuit of foreclosures in certain areas of the country that have the highest unemployment rate, that was the caveat. We will see how big the scope of that gets, but the whole idea is for you as a mortgage owner, as a home owner with a mortgage, if you need to establish a modification to an existing loan, in order to have more favorable terms in interest, a more favorable monthly payment, a way to keep that home, you have to look at this option.
Yes, and I appreciate you saying that one of the things that Citigroup announced they were going to be doing was giving people teaser rates of 1%. Look anybody with a brain can realize that that is ludicrous. What got us into this situation in the first place was huge banks, just like that one, giving people toxic mortgages, with fake interest rates, and pick your own payment, do whatever the heck you want to. It is exactly what they are trying to do again.
Essentially what they are talking about is giving people a short window of a very low interest rate, but they are going to be back in the same situation in the future. That’s why the loan modifications that we do, that we hire on your behalf, the national network of attorney’s that we use. We go for the throat, we are not looking to get you a 1% interest rate for the next 12 months. We are looking to get you a lifelong, or for the term of the loan if possible, the very lowest interest rate available, and fix it or extend the term so you can actually sustain that payment well beyond the short term.
One thing I want to point out before we have to go to a break, if you know of anyone out there, that has a GMAC mortgage, whether it be a GMAC first mortgage or second mortgage, you have got to tune in to the second segment you are not going to believe this scam that’s out there, going against people with these loans… http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com
Duration : 0:5:49
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http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com/short-sales/short-sale-and-loan-modification-make-sure-you-work-with-and-expert/ – Short Sale and Loan Modification; Make sure you Work with an Expert –
Part 2 – Were just going to go ahead if we could and just jump right into the short sale information. Jeri, again thank you so much for taking the time to be with us. What is the name of your firm?
Our group is Dream Vesting Group and our brokerage is Keller Williams Arizona Realty.
So that is great, licensed agents with Keller Williams and I know the two of you and I know of your history and we will talk a little bit more about that, but you have been working together for awhile. You and I had a chance to speak about the short sales and your success rate, very, very impressive proven results always helps. So the natural first question for those that are listening today. What is a short sale exactly?
A short sale is a property sale where the bank or lender agrees to accept less than what is owed to them. So the bank is agreeing to take a loss on the sale of your property, and I like what you said earlier about not trusting a loan modification or a short sale to just anybody, you definitely dont want to be the guinea pig and you dont want to approach the bank yourself and ask them to please take a loss because you need to sell your home.
And that is one of the things that is funny nowadays. I know people have seen them pop up all over the town, the ugly yellow bill boards all over the place. Advertising on the radio about loan modifications and they have 100% success rate, all kinds of these different things. The same thing with short sales, you actually have a process and you have a lot of experience doing it, you know the ins and the outs and this isnt a part time job this is a fulltime job.
Absolutely is a fulltime more than fulltime job, the last three Sundays I have been on the phones with lenders when they are open, one of them has a call center in India. I have been on the phone from 10 oclock at night until Midnight and again at 6am with the same lender trying to stop foreclosure.
Well that is good that you have the time, Take the time to do that. I am sorry that you have to work that many hours but you know Kalyn, is it not true that the sooner we get through all of these short sales and loan modifications the better off were all going to be anyway right?
Absolutely, a lot of people ask, what does it take? Who should be considering a short sale? If youre late on your mortgage currently, if your mortgage has adjusted, if you can no longer afford your monthly payment, if you foresee yourself not being able to afford your monthly payments, any of these instances plus several more, you should definitely be sitting down with someone and talking about your options which would be most likely a short sale or loan modification.
Yes the last thing anyone wants, and I mean anyone, is a foreclosure, that is the last resort. Nobody wants a foreclosure; you dont want it on your record, you dont want to have to deal with that. Its a very public event, a foreclosure is, the banks dont want you to foreclose and that is probably why they are so willing to work with you would you say? Absolutely the banks dont want the home back no matter what they tell you.
Exactly and on the loan modification side people try on their own to do this and its true that people can actually do a loan modification on their own but there are so many pitfalls and its just not something you want to try on your own. Surely you dont want to try a short sale on your own. So Jeri let me ask you this, what are some of the main objections?
The main objection that we hear from most of our clients is the cost to them, they already cant afford the payment on their mortgage or they wouldnt be in that particular situation 9 times out of 10 and so they are concerned about cost. Most people have already resigned themselves to the fact that they are losing their home and they dont want to spend any more money on it.
The good news is in a short sale you dont have to spend anymore money, all of the costs are absorbed by the bank. They agree to lose more money basically, so there is no realtor fees and the majority of the time we can negotiate an as is contract so if there are repairs that need to be made they dont come to you and ask you to do it, its just factored into the cost. So its very effective for homeowners.
And again it keeps them from going into foreclosure. They get to stay in the house and they get to save whatever is left of their dignity, some people take it very pride fully as well. So Kalyn, the second most common objection is?… http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com
Duration : 0:6:34
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More info: www.hightowerlowdown.org! Hightower’s simple, easy guide to explaining the looming disaster awaiting Wall St and Main St.
Duration : 0:1:7
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http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com/first-time-home-buyer/now-is-a-great-time-for-first-time-home-buyers-to-get-into-the-real-estate-market/ – Now is a great time for first time home buyers to get into the real estate market –
Part 3 – Back in studio of course Brett Fallon are favorite and one of America’s best financial advisors, and a very good friend of mine for a long time also Dan Havey. Dan, what is the name of the book?
The name of the book that I am in the middle of writing is called, Real Estates Future. What it is, is a model that I created with a friend of mine. I didnt believe this was possible when it was first brought to me, but after working on it for six months and doing a lot of research I found that we were actually able to predict, in advance, through a whole series of equations and data, we were actually able to predict in advance the top of the last real estate market here in Phoenix by six months.
So were doing a lot more research to see if we can take that to a broader national level and see if we can come close to actually giving people an idea in advance of the top and bottom of the real estate market.
And this is not the doom and gloom type stuff, this is reality, this is not media spin or anything, correct? No, this is just numbers. That’s all this comes down to, numbers, a lot of different equations. I am not going to bore people with all the complicated stuff. When I was in college I started out with a degree in computers and mathematics and eventually ended up getting a degree in finance, so Ive got a lot of numbers spinning around in my head.
The amount of content you have put together to talk about these first time home buyers, we just talked about what you should do when buying a home right now, you need to make sure that you get the seller to pay as much as they can, obviously you want to pay as little for the house as you possibly can. You want to get the seller to contribute as much as they can. But Dan why dont you talk about what it means to be a first time home buyer or for someone who could be in the market?
Well again with the numbers we were looking at, how this came about like I said last year we were working on this model and after the real estate market kind of took a crash we put it to the side for a little bit and the other day I said, its about time to resurrect it because we have to start looking at when is it going to be the bottom of this next market and people are going to want to know that.
So I started looking at some numbers here just in Phoenix and a couple things actually surprised me, it was very heartening for me when I saw that one of the metrics that we look at is whether or not the median income household can afford to buy the median priced home. And right now in Maricopa County the median income family makes $64,000 and the median priced home is $160,000 and $160,000 home is well within the means of the $64,000 income family. In fact just running numbers at 5 1/2 to 6% you could probably buy as much as a $250,000 house.
So then I took a look at where are houses selling right now, and I found that 78% of all of the houses that were sold in Maricopa County last month were under $250,000. So 78% were under $250,000, and I do believe that between $100,000 and $250,000 its like 53% of all the houses, and obviously there is some of the cheap stuff that is being sold at the repo sales and that kind of stuff right now too.
Like I told you before, my brother picked up a couple of REOs over the weekend and I think he paid $30,000 each for them. And there is one other thing I would like to say before we move on, where I think its a great time for first time home buyers to kind of jump back into the market is another metric we look at is year over year home sales, and for obviously the last two years the home sales were declining year over year, and what we have seen is in the last 6 months there were at least a thousand to two thousand more sales per month than there were in 2007. And percentage wise that is pretty high, its not just a thousand or two thousand the percentage is significant. Sometimes the numbers dont mean a lot, but when youre talking about an increase of 20 plus percent in a few of these months, thats huge… http://realestatemarketingthisweek.com
Duration : 0:5:47
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Compare bank mortgage interest rates by searching the Internet for Web sites that compare rates, contacting different banks for full disclosure information and using the variables of a mortgage interest rate to pick the best choice. Use the Internet as a guide for picking a good mortgage interest rate with help from a financial consultant in this free video on investments.
Expert: Roger Groh
Bio: Roger Groh is the founder of Groh Asset Management.
Filmmaker: Bing Hu
Duration : 0:2:48
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Welcome and Opening Remarks
Stuart Gabriel, UCLA
John Quigley, UC Berkeley
The Policy Maker’s Perspective on the Financial Meltdown and the Economy
Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Stuart Gabriel, UCLA, Moderator
The Future of the Housing Finance System
Nancy Wallace, UC Berkeley, Moderator
Panelists:
Brad Blackwell, Wells Fargo Bank
John Krainer, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Paul Leonard, Center for Responsible Lending
Paul Jablansky, 400 Capital Management LLC
http://urbanpolicy.berkeley.edu/mortgagemeltdown.htm
Duration : 2:24:33
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